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Where Did Russians Go After 2022?

Between 650,000 and 920,000 Russian citizens left the country after the invasion of Ukraine. Some stayed. Some moved again. Some are still figuring it out. Here's where they ended up — traced to primary data, not vibes.

Last updated: 2026-04-28

The Three Waves Nobody Planned For

First wave

Feb–Aug 2022

~500,000

Invasion of Ukraine, political crackdown, flight of IT and media workers

Source: OutRush / The Bell

Mobilization wave

Sep–Dec 2022

~400,000

Partial military mobilization announced September 21

Source: Wikipedia / government data

Ongoing trickle

2023–2025

~100,000+

Continued repression, border restrictions, second-wave mobilization fears

Source: OutRush Wave 4 (Mar 2025)

Who Ended Up Where

Russian-born or Russian-citizen population estimates per city / country. Geography noted — some figures are country-level because that's all the government published.

🇦🇪 Dubai300k🇰🇬 Bishkek184k🇰🇿 Almaty146k🇹🇷 Istanbul79k🇬🇪 Tbilisi74k🇷🇸 Belgrade67k🇦🇲 Yerevan60k🇮🇱 Tel Aviv37k🇩🇪 Berlin37k🇦🇷 Buenos Aires14k🇵🇹 Lisbon8k

The Numbers, With Receipts

CityEstimate
🇦🇪Dubaicountry

Top property buyers in Dubai Q2 2023. No official census data.

300,000
🇰🇬Bishkekcountry

184k arrivals Jan–Sep 2022. Retention rate unclear.

184,000
🇰🇿Almatycountry

930k entered Sep–Dec 2022; 146k remained by year-end. Most left since.

146,000
🇹🇷Istanbulcountry

35% of all Russian arrivals to Turkey settled in Istanbul

78,700
🇬🇪Tbilisicountry

81% of Russians in Georgia concentrated in Tbilisi

73,700
🇷🇸Belgradecountry
67,000
🇦🇲Yerevancountry

Peaked at ~100k in late 2022; dropped to ~60k by Oct 2023

60,000
🇮🇱Tel Avivcountry

32,494–37,000 made aliyah in 2022 alone — 400% increase

37,000
🇩🇪Berlin
36,610
🇦🇷Buenos Airescountry

Birth tourism phenomenon also drove arrivals

14,000
🇵🇹Lisboncountry
8,200
Total (these cities)1,005,210

The Second Move

One in five Russian emigrants changed countries after their initial landing. Twenty-eight percent plan to move again within a year. The first stop was rarely the last.

Georgia50% leftTurkey50% leftKazakhstan84% leftArmenia40% left
First stopLeftMoved to
Georgia50%EU countries, Serbia
Turkey50%EU countries, UAE
Kazakhstan84%Returned to Russia, EU
Armenia40%Serbia, EU

Where people actually stayed

United States1% left · 4% plan to
Germany1% left · 6% plan to
Spain1% left · 10% plan to

Source: Carnegie Endowment, July 2024 / Stanford FSI

Who Actually Left

40%

Under 30 years old

48%

Cited political repression

37%

Men citing mobilization fear

61%

Learning host-country language

Sources: OutRush Wave 4 (Mar 2025), Levada Center

Are they going back?

Returned so far<10%
Plan to return within 1 year5%
Would return if politics changed54%

Source: OutRush Wave 4 (8,600 respondents, Jul–Nov 2024)

Methodology & Sources

Every figure on this page is traced to a primary source: government statistics offices, academic surveys (Stanford FSI, OutRush longitudinal study), or international organizations (IOM, Carnegie Endowment). We do not cite media reports of media reports.

Population estimates vary by methodology. Some countries report residence permits (Serbia), others report arrivals minus departures (Georgia), and others offer no official breakdown at all (UAE). Where city-level data exists, we use it; otherwise, country-level figures are marked.

The total of 650,000–920,000 is the net emigration range — the number who left and did not return. Up to 45% of initial departees may have gone home.

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